Prognostic Value of Mortality Scoring Systems in Patients With Severe Burns: Identifying Key Predictors of…

Cohort studyMedical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research· Jul 2026

Prognostic Value of Mortality Scoring Systems in Patients With Severe Burns: Identifying Key Predictors of Mortality and Comparative Analysis Between Survivors and Non-Survivors.

Piotr Tomaka, Patryk Rzońca, Mateusz Rzońca … Tomasz Korzeniowski

Plastic SurgeryCohort studyPrognosisQ2IF 2.4

Simple baseline clinical model predicted burn mortality with excellent accuracy

Prognostic Value of Mortality Scoring Systems in Patients With Severe Burns: Identifying Key Predictors of Mortality and Comparative Analysis Between Survivors and Non-Survivors.

Piotr Tomaka … Tomasz Korzeniowski

Medical science monitor · Jul 2026 · Q2 in General Medicine

Background

Burns remain a major public health challenge for modern healthcare systems due to high mortality and long-term consequences.

Purpose

This study evaluated the effectiveness of several scoring systems in predicting mortality and identified key prognostic factors in patients with severe burns.

Methods

MATERIAL AND METHODS A retrospective analysis of 144 adult burn patients admitted to the intensive care unit was conducted.

n = 144 adult

Results

AUROC=0.87

the model reliably distinguished patients who died from those who survived

n = 144 adult

More results

RESULTS Overall mortality rate was 43.1%.

Non-survivors were older (59.2 vs 46.5 years), had larger burned surface area (42.3% vs 35.3%), and more frequently presented with inhalation injury (59.7% vs 26.8%).

More results

Among scoring systems, the revised BAUX achieved the highest AUROC (0.86, P<0.001), followed by Belgium Outcome Burn Injury and Burn Mortality Prediction (both 0.83, P<0.001).

However, pairwise comparisons showed no statistically significant differences between the best-performing scores.

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Conclusion

The findings highlight the need for early identification of high-risk patients and timely clinical management optimization.

Prognostic Value of Mortality Scoring Systems in Patients With Severe Burns: Identifying Key Predictors of Mortality and Comparative Analysis Between Survivors and Non-Survivors.

Prognostic Value of Mortality Scoring Systems in Patients With Severe Burns: Identifying Key Predictors of Mortality and Comparative Analysis Between Survivors and Non-Survivors.

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